| 摘要: |
| 以上海市拓展区-闵行区作为研究对象,利用2000、2005、2010年Landsat TM遥感数据,计算了闵行区三大功能区2000～2005年、2005～2010年土地利用变化矩阵,分析了闵行区10年来三区土地利用变化幅度、速度和转移方向,采用CA-Markov模型预测闵行区土地利用变化趋势.结果表明:闵行三大功能区土地时空变迁差异性大,实质上都是农地转为非农地的过程,原因为所处的城市化阶段各不同. |
| 关键词: 土地利用 CA-Markov 闵行区 三大功能区 |
| DOI： |
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| The Study on the land use change and the prediction for its future in Minhang District,Shanghai,using IDRISI CA-Markov model |
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WEI Yongkun1, SHI Dengrong1, TAO Kanghua2, ZHOU Guoqi2, MEI Jing2
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1.College of Life and Environmental Sciences,Shanghai Normal University;2.Research Center on Urban Information,Shanghai Normal University
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| Abstract: |
| Based on the interpretation on the remote sensing data of Landsat TM images in 2000,2005 and 2010 of Minhang District,Shanghai,the paper set up the land use change matrix of this area during the period from 2000 to 2005 and the period from 2005 to 2010,and further analyzed the change extent,change speed and change trend in past 10 years,using CA-Markov model method.The study results showed that there exist large difference of land use change in temporal and spatial,and that the agricultural land had great changed into non-agricultural land.This change had strongly been influenced by the urbanization in this area. |
| Key words: land use change CA-Markov Minhang District three functional zones |
